Post-poll survey: anti-incumbency against State govt. and Centre in Tamil Nadu

The electoral verdict in Tamil Nadu reinforces some past trends and also reflects the changing patterns in the politics of the State. Tamil Nadu has, in the recent past, given decisive mandates favouring one of the State-based parties or the alliance it leads. This trend has been repeated this time around. Also, the trend of State-based parties having primacy in the alliances, with national parties being their minor partners, continued.
Yet, if one were to look beyond the surface, two other patterns were apparent. First, this was the first election after the deaths of M. Karunanidhi and Jayalalithaa, who led the rival alliances. The election was a test of who was inheriting their legacy. Second, while the alliance led by the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam and the one led by the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam had regional parties in the forefront, the latter seemed to have a strong influence of the BJP.

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